So Alabama
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 67.4761Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Morgan St 38-21 906 H Tulane AME (11- 3, 82.0) 31-33 913 A Auburn SEC ( 5- 7, 82.3) 15-31 920 H Coastal Car SUN ( 6- 8, 71.4) 20-38 927 A No Texas AME (12- 2, 82.8) 22-36 1004 A Troy SUN ( 8- 6, 71.6) 24-31 1014 H Arkansas State SUN ( 7- 6, 69.9) 14-15 1023 A Georgia St SUN ( 1-11, 59.4) 38-31 1101 H Louisiana SUN ( 7- 5, 69.5) 22-31 1115 A La-Monroe SUN ( 3- 9, 63.5) 26-14 1122 H So Miss SUN ( 6- 7, 68.2) 42-35 1129 A Texas State SUN ( 5- 8, 71.5) 26-49
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 H Tulane 31-33 -2 -9 +++ 7.28
913 A Auburn 15-31 -16 -20 0.00
920 H Coastal Car 20-38 -18 1 --- -15.33
927 A No Texas 22-36 -14 -21 0.00
1004 A Troy 24-31 -7 -9 + 2.38
1014 H Arkansas State 14-15 -1 3 - -3.82
1023 A Georgia St 38-31 7 3 ++ 4.18
1101 H Louisiana 22-31 -9 3 --- -12.19
1115 A La-Monroe 26-14 12 -1 +++ 13.26
1122 H So Miss 42-35 7 5 + 2.47
1129 A Texas State 26-49 -23 -9 -- -4.75
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 920 H Coastal Car 20-38 -18 1 --- -15.33 1101 H Louisiana 22-31 -9 3 --- -12.19 1129 A Texas State 26-49 -23 -9 -- -4.75 1014 H Arkansas State 14-15 -1 3 - -3.82 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 906 H Tulane 31-33 -2 -9 +++ 7.28 1115 A La-Monroe 26-14 12 -1 +++ 13.26 1023 A Georgia St 38-31 7 3 ++ 4.18 1004 A Troy 24-31 -7 -9 + 2.38 1122 H So Miss 42-35 7 5 + 2.47 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Tulane (11- 3, 82.0) 31-33 -17.89 33.33 -5.26 1.16 -13.42
3 A Auburn ( 5- 7, 82.3) 15-31 -17.63 33.59 5.26 1.16 -7.17
3 H Coastal Car ( 6- 8, 71.4) 20-38 -28.49 22.72 -5.26 1.16 -19.56
3 A No Texas (12- 2, 82.8) 22-36 -17.14 34.07 5.26 1.16 -6.89
3 A Troy ( 8- 6, 71.6) 24-31 -28.31 22.91 5.26 1.16 -13.36
3 H Arkansas State ( 7- 6, 69.9) 14-15 -29.99 21.23 -5.26 1.16 -20.43
3 A Georgia St ( 1-11, 59.4) 38-31 -40.50 10.71 5.26 1.16 37.03
3 H Louisiana ( 7- 5, 69.5) 22-31 -30.35 20.87 -5.26 1.16 -20.64
3 A La-Monroe ( 3- 9, 63.5) 26-14 -36.43 14.79 5.26 1.16 46.49
3 H So Miss ( 6- 7, 68.2) 42-35 -31.70 19.52 -5.26 1.16 33.06
3 A Texas State ( 5- 8, 71.5) 26-49 -28.44 22.78 5.26 1.16 -13.43
------
1.69
|
winning pts = 116.5809 losing points = -114.8908
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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